Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 17.862077 20.573739 23.763462 27.848131 33.023461 39.481742 48.350787
2025-02-23 14.516603 17.764171 21.953363 27.929306 36.554922 49.129149 70.118366
2025-03-02 12.543582 15.955909 20.632301 27.820690 39.242903 58.090773 95.485072
2025-03-09 11.307406 14.825942 19.886311 28.162056 42.460633 68.939161 131.665048
2025-03-16 10.036402 13.427271 18.465407 27.067316 42.857129 74.792055 162.543837
2025-03-23 9.257421 12.630717 17.806237 27.035682 45.084203 85.300943 217.393206
2025-03-30 8.391480 11.597545 16.622102 25.849629 44.706443 89.794072 260.448726
2025-04-06 7.604593 10.608650 15.390264 24.365071 43.326854 91.239565 295.569143
2025-04-13 6.986754 9.832007 14.427247 23.232426 42.444298 93.730903 342.069511
2025-04-20 7.094523 10.219332 15.468766 26.119347 51.597734 131.953452 742.300129
2025-04-27 6.885971 10.063590 15.535431 27.054235 56.368249 160.727793 1359.671558
2025-05-04 6.432508 9.458655 14.724869 25.988953 55.451125 166.411549 1769.069360
2025-05-11 6.244288 9.313300 14.787136 26.946087 60.939070 208.847584 4765.469689
2025-05-18 5.964063 8.986646 14.474620 27.009535 63.876784 244.382792 14761.964001
2025-05-25 5.693995 8.655948 14.118076 26.905456 66.288061 282.409816 102876.597163
2025-06-01 5.493137 8.433071 13.949606 27.230730 70.389101 343.479203 NaN
2025-06-08 5.178660 7.982372 13.281075 26.187226 69.094827 358.543159 NaN
2025-06-15 4.985029 7.741086 13.019059 26.157060 71.768837 421.450684 NaN
2025-06-22 4.708850 7.330814 12.374871 25.025506 69.620240 428.037447 NaN
2025-06-29 4.426714 6.896313 11.653106 23.607678 65.924407 410.515044 NaN
2025-07-06 4.191843 6.540194 11.075599 22.524801 63.424093 406.285645 NaN
2025-07-13 4.290810 6.815704 11.852510 25.282922 79.142522 761.881525 NaN
2025-07-20 4.230423 6.782330 11.959755 26.174752 87.001168 1106.237573 NaN